![]() ![]() With that in mind, we can begin to explore the strategies that both forces will likely use.Įxploring these strategies requires an examination of the current disposition of forces, commanders, force composition, terrain and other conditions that might affect military actions. I fully agree with this conclusion: the battle will most certainly happen there. The theories referenced above strongly support the conclusion that Stannis will engage the Frey and Manderly detachment at the crofter’s village: the village in which Stannis and his forces have become seemingly entombed. NOTE: Includes spoilers from The Winds of Winter. The release of The Winds of Winter could prove these speculations entirely wrong. Although I think the ideas here are completely logical and well-suited to the information we have, I am not GRRM. I’d like to repeat what BryndenBFish says on his posts, this data is entirely speculative. Rather, I propose and evaluate a very specific set of tactics that Stannis can use to defeat the Freys. This essay does not disagree fundamentally with BryndenBFish’s original works. His insights were astounding and I am convinced that this is the case. His analysis concluded that Stannis plans to fight the approaching Freys at the crofter’s village. I highly recommend reading them before continuing with this post (read part 1 here, part 2 here). He wrote a two-part analysis of the battle for Winterfell coming in The Winds of Winter and derived very interesting predictions. This essay would not be possible without the fantastic original analysis work done by /u/BryndenBFish at his blog, Wars and Politics of Ice and Fire. Big questions raised by this essay, and attempted answers. Excerpts from the book that take on eerie meaning in light of this essay. The extreme parallels between the crofter’s village and a wildling village, the relevance to the battle. Where is Wyman Manderly in all this? When does he arrive at the village? Just how is the false beacon implemented? How does Stannis empower his chosen signalling device? The battle at the crofter’s village, step by step. The actual arrangement and orders of Stannis’s men. How Stannis forces Hosteen to prematurely attack. Stannis takes inspiration from his time as the Master of Ships. How the extreme weather necessarily affects strategy. The two likely strategies Hosteen would employ. An assessment of the Frey and Manderly forces. A brief look at the terrain around the crofter’s village. Acknowledging influential authors and essays. The reason for the length is because this is intended to be an all-inclusive resource for understanding the Night Lamp theory. If you only want a quick version, you can read the ‘Five-Minute Version’ instead. No extreme mental gymnastics are required. What’s so great is that all of the arguments in favor of this theory are so grounded in readily available material and interpretations. ![]() Implement a devastating surprise and maximize the ‘shock and awe’ of his attack.Cleverly direct the Freys into a trap of colossal proportions.Specifically, Stannis has been preparing to: There is substantial evidence that Stannis will employ a brilliant set of tactics to brutally defeat the Frey forces that are advancing on his position in A Dance with Dragons. In a hurry? Read the quick and dirty version here! THE MANNIFESTO: VOLUME I, CHAPTER I ![]()
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